Department of Mathematics

Sparrow Hospital

Model future emergency services needs

Proposer/liaison: Florence Nezamis

Using past performance and predicted community population and demographic changes, forecast annual department bed requirements between 2003 and 2015 for adult medical surgical patients, pediatric, fast track, and trauma patients.

Moreover examine the most important factors effecting Emergency Department patient throughput and make a determination of what are the major rate limiting steps. Using this information determine the top five rate limiting steps, and which ones, if corrected, would have the most positive impact on patient throughput. Determine the cost of correcting the top five rate limiting steps, and, using the cost of corrective action and predicted effect on throughput, rank corrective actions in order of positive effect per unit cost.

Third, using data on the timing of Emergency Department utilization, determine optimal nursing and physician staff scheduling.

An ideal deliverable from this project would be an Excel planning tool.

This summary was prepared by Florence Nezamis,
Sparrow Hospital Emergency Department

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